K.T.'s short term timing model for QQQQ (and other index based ETFs)
Please move on to our updated web-site
>>> www.kt-timing.com (+40% YTD with QQQQ)
Beating the market with
alternating long and short positions in
exchange traded funds traded at the market
open. To see
the current timing signal, click
If
your preference is signals for trades at the market close (or both open
and close), you should investigate the sister site
here. About the QQQ-a model
The model
represents short term timing with position changes two
times per week on average. (For a less hectic approach,
the mid term market timing system might be an
alternative, check:
K.T.'s mid term market timing for
RYDEX, ProFunds, etc.)
During March 2005 we completed work on an
additional sub-module which
hopefully should lead to improved and more consistent results from this point onwards. The core filtering algorithm was
also reviewed and the final result, when employing
the complete set of revised
rules, was an astonishingly
smooth and linear curve representing some 100-fold compounding of an investment
made in August 2000. Model performance
The
graph below shows theoretical results with the revised model (March 2005) applied
for the period since 04/2002. For verified results of actual
signals published since 07/2003, use the
TimerTrac views.
Actual development since
2003, with monthly and cumulative results compared to a buy-and-hold
investment in QQQQ, is displayed in the figure below.
(We will NEVER engage
in suppression of past performance or adjustment of past trades under
self-justified reference to model improvements)
Below are links
to our verified short term tming signals applied on alternative
index-linked vehicles. QQQ-a is represented as Aggressive Approach (AM),
i.e. the OPEN model.
The main objective of the model is to achieve
unsurpassed long term performance based on trades made with opening
prices on the signal days. To keep the system as simple as
possible in use, stop loss or trades during the sessions are
not applied.
If your
preference is signals for trades at market close (or both open and
close), you should instead check our sister site
here.
About QQQQ
The
QQQQ 'share' reflects the moves of the NASDAQ 100 index. Trading QQQQ is
just easy as trading ordinary shares - it is done in exactly the same
way, through the same channels.
The
risk of QQQQ investments is similar to investing in technology oriented
unit trusts or mutual funds. The advantages are higher flexibility and
marginal costs.
General information:
Index shares
QQQQ
Through any internet stockbroker in USA one can buy as well as sell
short the QQQQ, and thereby benefit in upturns and in negative market
periods.
Read
the
subscribe section
if you wish to receive mail
notification for QQQ-a switches well in time before the US markets
open. This
site is
also updated when a new position is to be taken. 
The development pattern since
initiation of published trades in July 2003 indicates that the model can deliver
steady growth with added potential for accelerated gains in periods.
Still being painfully aware that back test is back test,
and that real trading is quite another game, this even
more tells us to stick with the model and not be tempted
to overrule the signals being generated.
The model maintains the feature introduced in July 2003
where, under certain market conditions, taking a new
Short or Long position will depend on whether QQQQ gaps
1.05% (or more) up or down, respectively, at the
opening. These situations are well defined and will as
before be pointed out in advance when relevant.
Disclaimer: The owner of this site takes no responsibility for risk and possible losses on investments based on views here presented.
Each individual is always fully responsible for his / her own investment decisions and which equities or financial instruments to trade.
- - - updated 20.03.2008 - - -
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